Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.023327 0.025075 0.026897 0.028939 0.031168 0.033528 0.036221
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.020274 0.022767 0.025502 0.028735 0.032464 0.036644 0.041705
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.018393 0.021339 0.024700 0.028836 0.033816 0.039655 0.047067
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.016749 0.019937 0.023687 0.028454 0.034399 0.041628 0.051173
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.015347 0.018663 0.022662 0.027888 0.034600 0.043023 0.054532
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.014319 0.017743 0.021968 0.027624 0.035086 0.044721 0.058307
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.013433 0.016925 0.021323 0.027341 0.035474 0.046252 0.061897
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.012531 0.016022 0.020497 0.026739 0.035358 0.047050 0.064472
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.012066 0.015655 0.020338 0.026999 0.036401 0.049462 0.069458
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.011539 0.015170 0.019984 0.026955 0.036992 0.051245 0.073618
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011190 0.014902 0.019903 0.027271 0.038094 0.053805 0.079098
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010683 0.014388 0.019449 0.027020 0.038338 0.055091 0.082676
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010254 0.013967 0.019109 0.026921 0.038809 0.056757 0.087002
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.009776 0.013453 0.018609 0.026557 0.038849 0.057753 0.090306
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009457 0.013152 0.018401 0.026611 0.039526 0.059773 0.095439
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009046 0.012697 0.017944 0.026256 0.039531 0.060704 0.098767
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008619 0.012201 0.017401 0.025740 0.039241 0.061120 0.101209
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008295 0.011843 0.017049 0.025499 0.039379 0.062243 0.104969
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007986 0.011496 0.016698 0.025242 0.039467 0.063275 0.108626
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007625 0.011054 0.016184 0.024693 0.039036 0.063378 0.110545
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007474 0.010930 0.016154 0.024930 0.039941 0.065858 0.117146
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007267 0.010709 0.015964 0.024890 0.040363 0.067497 0.122236
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007145 0.010617 0.015972 0.025178 0.041368 0.070244 0.129730